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Channel: July 2017 –…and Then There's Physics
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The Only Way Not To Lose Is to Play

(Guest article by Michael Tobis; opinions are mt’s only) There’s a lot of talk about a “red team” critique of climate science from the quarters that have aligned themselves as critics of the...

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Temperature targets

I realise Michael Tobis is planning a follow-up to his post, but I thought would quickly pen this post about temperature targets, for example the Paris target of keeping the increase in global average...

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Hawking is wrong

I guess the big alarmist news at the moment is that Stephen Hawking has been quoted as saying: Trump’s action could push the Earth over the brink, to become like Venus, with a temperature of two...

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Proposing A Non-Cynical Red Team Exercise

(Guest posting by Michael Tobis. Opinions expressed here are mt’s only.) Some people who dismiss the climate change issue like to call it “the CAGW hypothesis” for “Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global...

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Reconciling climate sensitivity estimates – part III, or IV?

I mentioned in a recent post that there was a new paper that claims to reconciles climate sensitivity estimates. The basic issue is that observationally-based climate sensitivity estimates have a range...

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Doomsday scenarios

There’s been a bit of a furore over an article called The Uninhabitable Earth by David Wallace-Wells. The goal was clearly to investigate some of the extreme scenarios, but – unfortunately – the...

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Off for a couple of weeks

I’m leaving for a meeting early tomorrow morning and then heading out on holiday as soon as I’m back, so posting – from me, at least – will probably be light for a couple of weeks. To be quite honest,...

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I’m back….almost

Okay, I’m not quite back. I’m on the ferry from Coll to Oban (the picture is actually taken on the trip from Oban to Coll – the weather now is not that great). We’ve spent a week doing what I think is...

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TBH, I don’t really like consensus messaging either

Given the recent interest in the merits (or lack thereof) of consensus messaging, I was planning to write something. However, since I’m likely to be busy all day (and I’m feeling lazy) I will simply...

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Beyond climate consensus

I’ve had a chance to read the recent Beyond Climate Consensus paper by Warren Pearce, Reiner Grundmann, and colleagues. I’ve only just realised that it cites my blog, which might be a first. The paper...

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